What If Luck Is Real?

Is Luck Real? Let’s Find Out

 Have you ever asked yourself if you are lucky or not? Or have you called yourself unlucky? And after all of this, have you ever tried to understand what luck is? In this blog I am going to share my thoughts about luck. I will share a thought experiment and try to understand "luck" together. 

What is luck?

To find out if luck is real or not, at first we need to understand, what is luck? In my life I didn't believe in luck for most of the time till now. But some situations and observations make me question, "Have we described luck correctly?" And what I have understood about luck is "luck is randomness. And for some people this randomness in their life mostly favours them, which means they are lucky, and some people for whom this randomness is mostly against them or turns the situations against them are called unlucky." And this randomness is uncontrollable, like some uncontrollable situations. This can depend on human free will. Others free will. Which is not controllable in most of the cases or for most people. And there are other randomnesses, like some changes in rule, or being born in a poor family, or being the victim of some horrific events and other daily life unlucky things. In my opinion this is the definition of luck. 

The Famous Research—Richard Wiseman

Now there is much research about luck. And among them, Richard Wiseman's experiment is the most famous one. It says that "luck = opportunities + preparation." And although it's true that if you grab the opportunities, the chance of being successful will be high. But not every person who is open to opportunities is successful. And it's not only about being successful; sometimes being unlucky means personal losses. For example, how can a people call "Friedrich Nietzsche"not open to opportunity or not an intelligent person to grab opportunities? People like "Nikola Tesla" who get what they deserve after death, are not dumb; they are very intelligent to grab any opportunity. But they suffered for their situations. And if you closely notice, you will find that the situations are made by others's free will. And combining all of them, this happens. That's pure randomness. And the randomness is called luck in my opinion. So considering luck as a combination of grabbing opportunity and preparation is very oversimplified and ignorant in my opinion. 

My Thought Experiment: Testing Luck Itself

So let's talk about my experiment plan. There is no result of the experiment because I have very little money to conduct it. But I am still sharing the experiment idea. 

"I would get a lot of people together and listen carefully to their life stories, including the big events, turning points, hardships, and blessings. Based on this information, I would put them into one of two groups: "lucky" or "unlucky," based on the patterns and results that happened in their lives, without letting my beliefs get in the way.

I would then choose 50 people from each group: 50 who are objectively lucky and 50 who are objectively unlucky. After that, these people would play a game that takes away all skill, intelligence, or personality and relies only on luck.

The rules of the game are straightforward: each player gets ten balloons and a die. They roll the dice and have to pop the number of balloons that appear on their turn. Next comes the turn of the other player. The first to pop all 10 balloons wins. Fifty-one one-on-one matches will be played between each lucky person and an unlucky person.

The rationale is simple—if luck is really real in an objective domain, we should observe a disproportionately high number of wins from people identified as objectively lucky. If it's something else, and the results are evenly distributed or favour the unfortunate group, then luck is perhaps merely a human gloss on random events."

I know it's funny, but it can tell us about the things that we want to know about. 

Final Thoughts

So at the end, I want to say that luck is real or not; I don't know either. But we can work as hard as we can, we can try to spend more time with some favourite person, we can learn from the personal losses, we can try to calculate possibility as much as we can, or just accept everything. 

Thank you so much for reading my blog.